Tue 13 Oct — Trosbet

Today's board

Tue 13 Oct

8 matches with enough data

Tuesday 13 October All matches

Avoid 8

Filter by tag, league, edge and chance, and star matches to follow: join free

18:45Tue

Bristol CityBlackburn Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 46% Bookmakers 46% Edge -0.4 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 46% against a market price of 46% (-0.4%). Join free to read why

18:45Tue

BurnleyCharlton Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 56% Bookmakers 59% Edge -3.2 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 56% against a market price of 59% (-3.2%). Join free to read why

18:45Tue

CardiffWatford Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 55% Bookmakers 57% Edge -1.9 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 55% against a market price of 57% (-1.9%). Join free to read why

18:45Tue

MillwallSwansea Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 39% Bookmakers 39% Edge +0.5 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 39% against a market price of 39% (+0.5%). Join free to read why

18:45Tue

WolvesBolton Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 66% Bookmakers 69% Edge -2.7 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 66% against a market price of 69% (-2.7%).

18:45Tue

WrexhamWest Brom Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 42% Bookmakers 42% Edge +0.1 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 42% against a market price of 42% (+0.1%). Join free to read why

19:00Tue

BirminghamPreston Championship

Home win Avoid

Us 59% Bookmakers 60% Edge -1.8 pts 20 more markets

Home win: 59% against a market price of 60% (-1.8%). Join free to read why

19:00Tue

Stoke CityMiddlesbrough Championship

Away win Avoid

Us 45% Bookmakers 48% Edge -2.9 pts 20 more markets

Away win: 45% against a market price of 48% (-2.9%). Join free to read why

Match of the day

Fully open to everyone

Wolves v Bolton

Championship, Tue 18:45

Home winAvoid 66%

Home win: 66% against a market price of 69% (-2.7%).
Expected goals Wolves 1.86 – 1.23 Bolton.
Simulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 50% (uncertainty ±10.4%), so it carries 17% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.
Home advantage in this league (+26% goals at home) adds 1.6 pts to home win.

Every market for this match