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New York City FC
1–1
Los Angeles FC
Sat 17 Oct, 23:30 Citi Field Rosendo Mendoza, USA

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
37%
Bookmakers 35%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 37%Bookmakers 35% Edge +2.1 pts Uncertainty ±2.6%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+2.1%).

  • Home win: 37% against a market price of 35% (+2.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

New York City FC

LLDLW
  • 14 Oct · A v Inter Miami 0–2 (xG 1.53–2.31)
  • 10 Oct · A v Chicago Fire 1–2 (xG 1.50–1.09)
  • 26 Sep · A v Atlanta United FC 2–2 (xG 0.80–0.95)
  • 18 Sep · H v New York Red Bulls 0–1 (xG 2.30–1.40)
  • 13 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 2–0 (xG 0.51–1.09)

Los Angeles FC

WDLDL
  • 15 Oct · H v Austin 3–1 (xG 4.40–0.65)
  • 11 Oct · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.20)
  • 27 Sep · A v FC Dallas 0–1
  • 19 Sep · A v San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 (xG 0.36–1.11)
  • 13 Sep · A v Sporting Kansas City 1–3 (xG 2.19–1.95)

Head-to-head

New York City FC 0 · draws 0 · Los Angeles FC 1, 1.0 goals a game

  • 2 Mar 2025 · Los Angeles FC 1–0 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)