New York Red Bulls
0–2
Toronto FC
Sat 17 Oct, 23:30
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Marcos de Oliveira, USA
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
51%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 51%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.3%).
- Home win: 51% against a market price of 49% (+1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNew York Red Bulls
LWLWW
- 14 Oct · A v DC United 1–2 (xG 3.00–1.26)
- 10 Oct · H v San Diego 4–1 (xG 4.16–2.12)
- 30 Sep · H v St. Louis City 0–3
- 18 Sep · A v New York City FC 1–0 (xG 1.40–2.30)
- 12 Sep · A v Columbus Crew 1–0 (xG 1.43–1.47)
Toronto FC
DWLLL
- 14 Oct · H v Orlando City SC 3–3 (xG 2.84–2.30)
- 10 Oct · H v CF Montreal 2–1 (xG 1.61–1.54)
- 27 Sep · A v Nashville SC 0–2
- 20 Sep · A v St. Louis City 1–3 (xG 1.08–2.54)
- 12 Sep · A v Orlando City SC 0–3 (xG 2.51–2.05)
Head-to-head
New York Red Bulls 3 · draws 2 · Toronto FC 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 14 Mar 2026 · Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
- 25 Jun 2025 · Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
- 22 Mar 2025 · New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer)
- 2 Oct 2024 · Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
- 22 Jun 2024 · New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer)