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New England Revolution
1–0
Chicago Fire
Sat 17 Oct, 23:30 Boston Stadium Nabil Bensalah, USA

Match result: no bet

Won
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 39%Bookmakers 40% Edge -1.2 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-1.2%).

  • Home win: 39% against a market price of 40% (-1.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

New England Revolution

WLLWW
  • 14 Oct · A v FC Cincinnati 3–2 (xG 1.69–1.96)
  • 10 Oct · H v Seattle Sounders 0–3 (xG 0.82–1.47)
  • 27 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 0–3
  • 19 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 4–2 (xG 1.74–1.34)
  • 13 Sep · A v Chicago Fire 2–1 (xG 1.53–1.92)

Chicago Fire

LWWWL
  • 15 Oct · H v Philadelphia Union 1–3 (xG 0.87–2.24)
  • 10 Oct · H v New York City FC 2–1 (xG 1.09–1.50)
  • 7 Oct · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 (xG 3.86–1.09)
  • 26 Sep · A v Charlotte 1–0 (xG 1.11–1.19)
  • 20 Sep · A v Nashville SC 0–3 (xG 0.96–2.07)

Head-to-head

New England Revolution 2 · draws 2 · Chicago Fire 1, 3.0 goals a game

  • 13 Sep 2026 · Chicago Fire 1–2 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)
  • 18 Oct 2025 · New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)
  • 7 Sep 2025 · Chicago Fire 3–2 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)
  • 5 May 2024 · Chicago Fire 0–1 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)
  • 23 Mar 2024 · New England Revolution 1–1 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)