Columbus Crew
4–2
Toronto FC
Sat 24 Oct, 19:30
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Chris Penso, USA
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
54%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 54%Bookmakers 59%
Edge -4.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 59% (-4.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsColumbus Crew
WWLWW
- 18 Oct · A v FC Cincinnati 2–0 (xG 0.36–2.27)
- 14 Oct · H v Charlotte 3–1 (xG 2.85–0.91)
- 10 Oct · A v Orlando City SC 2–3 (xG 4.28–2.44)
- 27 Sep · H v Inter Miami 2–1 (xG 1.87–0.27)
- 19 Sep · A v CF Montreal 2–0 (xG 0.92–0.47)
Toronto FC
WDWLL
- 17 Oct · A v New York Red Bulls 2–0 (xG 0.66–1.01)
- 14 Oct · H v Orlando City SC 3–3 (xG 2.84–2.30)
- 10 Oct · H v CF Montreal 2–1 (xG 1.61–1.54)
- 27 Sep · A v Nashville SC 0–2
- 20 Sep · A v St. Louis City 1–3 (xG 1.08–2.54)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew 2 · draws 2 · Toronto FC 1, 2.6 goals a game
- 21 Mar 2026 · Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer)
- 20 Sep 2025 · Columbus Crew 1–1 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer)
- 16 Aug 2025 · Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer)
- 18 Sep 2024 · Toronto FC 0–2 Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer)
- 6 Jul 2024 · Columbus Crew 4–0 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer)