Inter Miami
23:30
FC Cincinnati
Wed 28 Oct, 23:30
Nu Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 92%Books 92% Best odds 1.08 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
59%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 59%Bookmakers 65%
Edge -6.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 59% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 59% against a market price of 65% (-6.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsInter Miami
LWWWL
- 24 Oct · A v New York Red Bulls 0–2 (xG 0.87–3.39)
- 17 Oct · A v Atlanta United FC 3–1 (xG 1.85–2.36)
- 14 Oct · H v New York City FC 2–0 (xG 2.31–1.53)
- 10 Oct · H v DC United 4–0 (xG 2.41–0.66)
- 27 Sep · A v Columbus Crew 1–2 (xG 0.27–1.87)
FC Cincinnati
WWLLW
- 24 Oct · A v DC United 2–0 (xG 0.99–0.40)
- 21 Oct · H v DC United 2–1 (xG 1.85–0.97)
- 18 Oct · H v Columbus Crew 0–2 (xG 2.27–0.36)
- 14 Oct · H v New England Revolution 2–3 (xG 1.96–1.69)
- 10 Oct · A v Atlanta United FC 3–1 (xG 2.34–1.35)
Head-to-head
Inter Miami 3 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 2, 4.0 goals a game
- 13 May 2026 · FC Cincinnati 3–5 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer)
- 23 Nov 2025 · FC Cincinnati 0–4 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer)
- 26 Jul 2025 · Inter Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer)
- 16 Jul 2025 · FC Cincinnati 3–0 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer)
- 24 Aug 2024 · Inter Miami 2–0 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer)
- 6 Jul 2024 · FC Cincinnati 6–1 Inter Miami (Major League Soccer)