New York City FC
23:30
Atlanta United FC
Wed 28 Oct, 23:30
Citi Field
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 82% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 53%Bookmakers 54%
Edge -1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±0.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 54% (-1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNew York City FC
DDLLD
- 24 Oct · A v Orlando City SC 2–2 (xG 1.77–0.86)
- 17 Oct · H v Los Angeles FC 1–1 (xG 0.78–0.58)
- 14 Oct · A v Inter Miami 0–2 (xG 1.53–2.31)
- 10 Oct · A v Chicago Fire 1–2 (xG 1.50–1.09)
- 26 Sep · A v Atlanta United FC 2–2 (xG 0.80–0.95)
Atlanta United FC
LLWLD
- 24 Oct · H v Chicago Fire 2–3 (xG 0.85–1.59)
- 17 Oct · H v Inter Miami 1–3 (xG 2.36–1.85)
- 14 Oct · A v CF Montreal 3–0 (xG 2.13–0.48)
- 10 Oct · H v FC Cincinnati 1–3 (xG 1.35–2.34)
- 26 Sep · H v New York City FC 2–2 (xG 0.95–0.80)
Head-to-head
New York City FC 1 · draws 3 · Atlanta United FC 1, 4.2 goals a game
- 26 Sep 2026 · Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
- 12 Jun 2025 · New York City FC 4–0 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer)
- 29 Mar 2025 · Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
- 17 Jul 2024 · Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
- 6 Apr 2024 · New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer)