New England Revolution
23:30
New York Red Bulls
Wed 28 Oct, 23:30
Boston Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 88%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 50%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +1.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 49% (+1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNew England Revolution
WWWLL
- 24 Oct · A v Philadelphia Union 2–1 (xG 1.90–1.97)
- 17 Oct · H v Chicago Fire 1–0 (xG 0.31–1.11)
- 14 Oct · A v FC Cincinnati 3–2 (xG 1.69–1.96)
- 10 Oct · H v Seattle Sounders 0–3 (xG 0.82–1.47)
- 27 Sep · A v Real Salt Lake 0–3
New York Red Bulls
WLLWL
- 24 Oct · H v Inter Miami 2–0 (xG 3.39–0.87)
- 17 Oct · H v Toronto FC 0–2 (xG 1.01–0.66)
- 14 Oct · A v DC United 1–2 (xG 3.00–1.26)
- 10 Oct · H v San Diego 4–1 (xG 4.16–2.12)
- 30 Sep · H v St. Louis City 0–3
Head-to-head
New England Revolution 2 · draws 0 · New York Red Bulls 3, 3.8 goals a game
- 28 Feb 2026 · New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)
- 16 Jul 2025 · New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)
- 29 Mar 2025 · New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
- 8 Jun 2024 · New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer)
- 11 May 2024 · New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution (Major League Soccer)