Charlotte
23:30
CF Montreal
Wed 28 Oct, 23:30
Bank of America Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 87%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
63%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 63%Bookmakers 65%
Edge -2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 63% against a market price of 65% (-2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCharlotte
LDLWL
- 25 Oct · A v Portland Timbers 2–3 (xG 0.86–3.38)
- 17 Oct · A v Philadelphia Union 2–2 (xG 1.63–2.64)
- 14 Oct · A v Columbus Crew 1–3 (xG 0.91–2.85)
- 10 Oct · H v FC Dallas 3–2 (xG 2.88–2.06)
- 26 Sep · H v Chicago Fire 0–1 (xG 1.19–1.11)
CF Montreal
LDLLW
- 24 Oct · H v Nashville SC 0–2 (xG 0.56–1.84)
- 18 Oct · A v Seattle Sounders 1–1 (xG 1.31–1.56)
- 14 Oct · H v Atlanta United FC 0–3 (xG 0.48–2.13)
- 10 Oct · A v Toronto FC 1–2 (xG 1.54–1.61)
- 26 Sep · H v FC Cincinnati 3–1 (xG 2.07–1.91)
Head-to-head
Charlotte 3 · draws 0 · CF Montreal 2, 2.8 goals a game
- 9 Sep 2026 · CF Montreal 1–2 Charlotte (Major League Soccer)
- 27 Sep 2025 · Charlotte 1–4 CF Montreal (Major League Soccer)
- 12 Apr 2025 · CF Montreal 0–1 Charlotte (Major League Soccer)
- 5 Oct 2024 · Charlotte 2–0 CF Montreal (Major League Soccer)
- 14 Sep 2024 · CF Montreal 2–1 Charlotte (Major League Soccer)