Nashville SC
00:30
Philadelphia Union
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30
Geodis Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 50%
Edge -0.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 50% (-0.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNashville SC
WDWWW
- 24 Oct · A v CF Montreal 2–0 (xG 1.84–0.56)
- 18 Oct · A v San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 (xG 0.47–0.82)
- 15 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 4–0 (xG 3.81–0.49)
- 11 Oct · A v Austin 4–1 (xG 4.94–1.11)
- 27 Sep · H v Toronto FC 2–0
Philadelphia Union
LDWWW
- 24 Oct · H v New England Revolution 1–2 (xG 1.97–1.90)
- 17 Oct · H v Charlotte 2–2 (xG 2.64–1.63)
- 15 Oct · A v Chicago Fire 3–1 (xG 2.24–0.87)
- 10 Oct · H v Real Salt Lake 2–1 (xG 1.97–0.76)
- 26 Sep · H v Orlando City SC 4–2 (xG 2.93–1.10)
Head-to-head
Nashville SC 2 · draws 1 · Philadelphia Union 2, 2.2 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
- 6 Jul 2025 · Nashville SC 1–0 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer)
- 16 Mar 2025 · Philadelphia Union 1–3 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
- 20 Jul 2024 · Philadelphia Union 3–0 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer)
- 7 Apr 2024 · Nashville SC 1–2 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer)