FC Dallas
00:30
Columbus Crew
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 85% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
51%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 51%Bookmakers 49%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 51% against a market price of 49% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Dallas
WDWLW
- 25 Oct · H v San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 (xG 2.48–0.37)
- 18 Oct · A v Houston Dynamo 2–2 (xG 2.50–1.38)
- 15 Oct · H v Seattle Sounders 1–0 (xG 1.04–2.01)
- 10 Oct · A v Charlotte 2–3 (xG 2.06–2.88)
- 27 Sep · H v Los Angeles FC 1–0
Columbus Crew
WWWLW
- 24 Oct · H v Toronto FC 4–2 (xG 2.30–2.36)
- 18 Oct · A v FC Cincinnati 2–0 (xG 0.36–2.27)
- 14 Oct · H v Charlotte 3–1 (xG 2.85–0.91)
- 10 Oct · A v Orlando City SC 2–3 (xG 4.28–2.44)
- 27 Sep · H v Inter Miami 2–1 (xG 1.87–0.27)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.