Chicago Fire
00:30
Orlando City SC
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30
Soldier Field
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 91%Books 91% Best odds 1.10 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
58%
Bookmakers 61%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 58%Bookmakers 61%
Edge -2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 58% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 61% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChicago Fire
WLLWW
- 24 Oct · A v Atlanta United FC 3–2 (xG 1.59–0.85)
- 17 Oct · A v New England Revolution 0–1 (xG 1.11–0.31)
- 15 Oct · H v Philadelphia Union 1–3 (xG 0.87–2.24)
- 10 Oct · H v New York City FC 2–1 (xG 1.09–1.50)
- 7 Oct · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 (xG 3.86–1.09)
Orlando City SC
DWDWL
- 24 Oct · H v New York City FC 2–2 (xG 0.86–1.77)
- 17 Oct · H v DC United 4–1 (xG 2.62–2.60)
- 14 Oct · A v Toronto FC 3–3 (xG 2.30–2.84)
- 10 Oct · H v Columbus Crew 3–2 (xG 2.44–4.28)
- 26 Sep · A v Philadelphia Union 2–4 (xG 1.10–2.93)
Head-to-head
Chicago Fire 3 · draws 2 · Orlando City SC 1, 3.2 goals a game
- 19 Aug 2026 · Orlando City SC 1–2 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)
- 23 Oct 2025 · Chicago Fire 3–1 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer)
- 31 May 2025 · Orlando City SC 1–3 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)
- 4 May 2025 · Chicago Fire 0–0 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer)
- 22 Jun 2024 · Orlando City SC 4–2 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)
- 30 May 2024 · Chicago Fire 1–1 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer)