Minnesota United FC
00:30
Sporting Kansas City
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30
Allianz Field
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 89%Books 89% Best odds 1.12 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
65%
Bookmakers 69%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 65%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -3.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-6.6% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 69% (-3.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMinnesota United FC
DWDDL
- 25 Oct · A v Houston Dynamo 0–0 (xG 1.36–0.77)
- 17 Oct · H v St. Louis City 3–2 (xG 2.67–1.23)
- 15 Oct · A v Colorado Rapids 2–2 (xG 1.55–2.09)
- 11 Oct · H v Houston Dynamo 2–2 (xG 1.30–1.58)
- 27 Sep · A v Seattle Sounders 1–3
Sporting Kansas City
LLLDL
- 25 Oct · H v Austin 1–2 (xG 1.53–1.80)
- 18 Oct · H v Real Salt Lake 1–3 (xG 0.79–1.05)
- 15 Oct · A v Nashville SC 0–4 (xG 0.49–3.81)
- 11 Oct · H v Portland Timbers 3–3 (xG 1.85–1.54)
- 2 Oct · A v Seattle Sounders 1–2 (xG 2.05–1.70)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC 4 · draws 1 · Sporting Kansas City 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 23 Jul 2026 · Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer)
- 5 Oct 2025 · Minnesota United FC 3–0 Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer)
- 16 Mar 2025 · Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer)
- 22 Sep 2024 · Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer)
- 2 Jun 2024 · Minnesota United FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer)
- 28 Apr 2024 · Minnesota United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer)