St. Louis City
00:30
Portland Timbers
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30
Citypark
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 87%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
54%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 54%Bookmakers 55%
Edge -0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 55% (-0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSt. Louis City
LLDWW
- 25 Oct · A v Real Salt Lake 0–3 (xG 0.17–3.64)
- 17 Oct · A v Minnesota United FC 2–3 (xG 1.23–2.67)
- 15 Oct · H v Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 (xG 0.75–0.83)
- 11 Oct · H v Los Angeles Galaxy 6–2 (xG 2.61–1.96)
- 30 Sep · A v New York Red Bulls 3–0
Portland Timbers
WDLDL
- 25 Oct · H v Charlotte 3–2 (xG 3.38–0.86)
- 18 Oct · H v Colorado Rapids 0–0 (xG 0.66–1.01)
- 15 Oct · A v Los Angeles Galaxy 0–2 (xG 0.70–1.77)
- 11 Oct · A v Sporting Kansas City 3–3 (xG 1.54–1.85)
- 27 Sep · A v San Jose Earthquakes 1–3
Head-to-head
St. Louis City 1 · draws 3 · Portland Timbers 1, 3.6 goals a game
- 10 Sep 2026 · Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer)
- 13 Jul 2025 · St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer)
- 8 Jun 2025 · Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer)
- 25 Aug 2024 · Portland Timbers 4–4 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer)
- 9 Jun 2024 · St. Louis City 0–0 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer)