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Seattle Sounders
02:30
Houston Dynamo
Thu 29 Oct, 02:30 Lumen Field
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 81% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
54%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 54%Bookmakers 53% Edge +0.8 pts Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 54% against a market price of 53% (+0.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Seattle Sounders

DDLWW
  • 25 Oct · A v San Diego 2–2 (xG 1.37–2.41)
  • 18 Oct · H v CF Montreal 1–1 (xG 1.56–1.31)
  • 15 Oct · A v FC Dallas 0–1 (xG 2.01–1.04)
  • 10 Oct · A v New England Revolution 3–0 (xG 1.47–0.82)
  • 2 Oct · H v Sporting Kansas City 2–1 (xG 1.70–2.05)

Houston Dynamo

DDDDL
  • 25 Oct · H v Minnesota United FC 0–0 (xG 0.77–1.36)
  • 18 Oct · H v FC Dallas 2–2 (xG 1.38–2.50)
  • 15 Oct · A v San Diego 3–3 (xG 0.93–2.57)
  • 11 Oct · A v Minnesota United FC 2–2 (xG 1.58–1.30)
  • 27 Sep · H v Sporting Kansas City 0–2

Head-to-head

Seattle Sounders 3 · draws 3 · Houston Dynamo 0, 1.3 goals a game

  • 5 Apr 2026 · Houston Dynamo 0–1 Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer)
  • 11 May 2025 · Houston Dynamo 1–3 Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer)
  • 23 Mar 2025 · Seattle Sounders 0–0 Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer)
  • 3 Nov 2024 · Houston Dynamo 1–1 Seattle Sounders (Major League Soccer)
  • 29 Oct 2024 · Seattle Sounders 0–0 Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer)
  • 29 Sep 2024 · Seattle Sounders 1–0 Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer)