Botafogo
1–0
Chapecoense-sc
Sat 17 Oct, 21:00
Estádio Nilton Santos
Raphael Claus, Brazil
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
68%
Bookmakers 73%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 10%
Us 68%Bookmakers 73%
Edge -4.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-4.9%).
- Home win: 68% against a market price of 73% (-4.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBotafogo
DLLWD
- 12 Oct · A v Coritiba 1–1 (xG 0.93–1.16)
- 7 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 1–2 (xG 0.61–1.69)
- 19 Sep · A v Mirassol 0–2 (xG 1.35–1.22)
- 16 Sep · H v Gremio 3–2 (xG 0.89–0.57)
- 12 Sep · H v RB Bragantino 1–1 (xG 1.39–0.80)
Chapecoense-sc
LLDLW
- 12 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–4 (xG 1.75–1.39)
- 7 Oct · A v Vitoria 0–4 (xG 0.38–2.67)
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–1 (xG 1.13–2.20)
- 12 Sep · H v Internacional 1–2 (xG 0.70–0.34)
- 6 Sep · A v Corinthians 2–1 (xG 0.95–2.12)
Head-to-head
Botafogo 1 · draws 0 · Chapecoense-sc 0, 5.0 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Botafogo (Serie A)