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Corinthians
1–1
Vitoria
Mon 19 Oct, 23:00 Neo Quimica Arena Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil

Our pick: Away win

Upset Watch Lost
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 19%Bookmakers 16% Edge +3.0 pts Uncertainty ±1.1%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.0% too long by the market.

  • Away win: 19% against a market price of 16% (+3.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Corinthians

LLLLL
  • 11 Oct · A v Palmeiras 1–4 (xG 0.71–2.60)
  • 7 Oct · A v Internacional 1–2 (xG 2.44–1.76)
  • 20 Sep · H v Fluminense 1–3 (xG 2.44–2.38)
  • 17 Sep · H v Estudiantes L.P. 0–1
  • 13 Sep · A v Flamengo 1–2 (xG 0.30–2.62)

Vitoria

LWLDW
  • 11 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.80)
  • 7 Oct · H v Chapecoense-sc 4–0 (xG 2.67–0.38)
  • 20 Sep · H v Cruzeiro 1–3 (xG 0.50–0.66)
  • 13 Sep · A v Mirassol 2–2 (xG 1.64–1.46)
  • 7 Sep · H v Gremio 1–0 (xG 1.67–0.45)

Head-to-head

Corinthians 3 · draws 2 · Vitoria 0, 1.8 goals a game

  • 18 Apr 2026 · Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians (Serie A)
  • 25 Oct 2025 · Vitoria 0–1 Corinthians (Serie A)
  • 1 Jun 2025 · Corinthians 0–0 Vitoria (Serie A)
  • 9 Nov 2024 · Vitoria 1–2 Corinthians (Serie A)
  • 4 Jul 2024 · Corinthians 3–2 Vitoria (Serie A)