Fluminense
1–2
Santos
Sun 18 Oct, 19:00
Estádio do Maracanã
Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
Our pick: Home win
Value LostHome win
45%
Bookmakers 40%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 45%Bookmakers 40%
Edge +4.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Value: our 45% beats the market's 40%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 40% (+4.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFluminense
LLWWL
- 15 Oct · H v Palmeiras 1–2 (xG 0.52–1.19)
- 11 Oct · A v Flamengo 0–1 (xG 0.65–1.65)
- 9 Oct · H v Coritiba 4–0 (xG 1.77–1.54)
- 20 Sep · A v Corinthians 3–1 (xG 2.38–2.44)
- 15 Sep · A v Platense 1–2
Santos
LDWWL
- 11 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 1–2 (xG 1.12–1.44)
- 8 Oct · H v Flamengo 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.15)
- 2 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 2–1 (xG 0.60–1.83)
- 19 Sep · A v Remo 2–1 (xG 0.90–0.84)
- 16 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 2–4
Head-to-head
Fluminense 2 · draws 1 · Santos 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 19 Apr 2026 · Santos 2–3 Fluminense (Serie A)
- 31 Aug 2025 · Santos 0–0 Fluminense (Serie A)
- 13 Apr 2025 · Fluminense 1–0 Santos (Serie A)