Gremio v Cruzeiro

Gremio

2–4

Cruzeiro

Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Arena do Grêmio Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil

Our pick: Home win

Upset Watch Lost

Home win

36%

Bookmakers 30%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

36%

Bookmakers 43%

Us 36%Bookmakers 30% Edge +5.2 pts Uncertainty ±2.9%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 5.2% too long by the market.

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DDDLL

11 Oct · H v Internacional 1–1 (xG 1.44–0.78)
7 Oct · A v Remo 1–1 (xG 2.61–1.32)
20 Sep · H v Palmeiras 0–0 (xG 0.97–2.49)
16 Sep · A v Botafogo 2–3 (xG 0.57–0.89)
12 Sep · H v Vasco DA Gama 1–2 (xG 0.68–1.52)

LWWLW

13 Oct · A v RB Bragantino 2–4 (xG 2.80–2.88)
8 Oct · H v Sao Paulo 2–0
20 Sep · A v Vitoria 3–1 (xG 0.66–0.50)
13 Sep · A v Santos 1–2 (xG 1.70–1.98)
6 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–1 (xG 3.07–1.31)

Gremio 0 · draws 1 · Cruzeiro 4, 2.4 goals a game