Chapecoense-sc
22:30
Fluminense
Sat 24 Oct, 22:30
Arena Condá
Anderson Daronco
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
49%
Bookmakers 51%
Us 49%Bookmakers 51%
Edge -1.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 49% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 49% against a market price of 51% (-1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChapecoense-sc
LLLDL
- 17 Oct · A v Botafogo 0–1 (xG 0.24–2.41)
- 12 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–4 (xG 1.75–1.39)
- 7 Oct · A v Vitoria 0–4 (xG 0.38–2.67)
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–1 (xG 1.13–2.20)
- 12 Sep · H v Internacional 1–2 (xG 0.70–0.34)
Fluminense
WLLLW
- 22 Oct · A v Palmeiras 1–0 (xG 0.24–0.64)
- 18 Oct · H v Santos 1–2 (xG 0.99–2.26)
- 15 Oct · H v Palmeiras 1–2 (xG 0.52–1.19)
- 11 Oct · A v Flamengo 0–1 (xG 0.65–1.65)
- 9 Oct · H v Coritiba 4–0 (xG 1.77–1.54)
Head-to-head
Chapecoense-sc 0 · draws 0 · Fluminense 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Fluminense 2–1 Chapecoense-sc (Serie A)