Chapecoense-sc
2–1
Fluminense
Sat 24 Oct, 22:30
Arena Condá
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
50%
Bookmakers 52%
Us 50%Bookmakers 52%
Edge -2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 50% against a market price of 52% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChapecoense-sc
LLLDL
- 17 Oct · A v Botafogo 0–1 (xG 0.24–2.41)
- 12 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–4 (xG 1.75–1.39)
- 7 Oct · A v Vitoria 0–4 (xG 0.38–2.67)
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–1 (xG 1.13–2.20)
- 12 Sep · H v Internacional 1–2 (xG 0.70–0.34)
Fluminense
WLLLW
- 22 Oct · A v Palmeiras 1–0 (xG 0.24–0.64)
- 18 Oct · H v Santos 1–2 (xG 0.99–2.26)
- 15 Oct · H v Palmeiras 1–2 (xG 0.52–1.19)
- 11 Oct · A v Flamengo 0–1 (xG 0.65–1.65)
- 9 Oct · H v Coritiba 4–0 (xG 1.77–1.54)
Head-to-head
Chapecoense-sc 0 · draws 0 · Fluminense 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Fluminense 2–1 Chapecoense-sc (Serie A)