Coritiba
22:30
Gremio
Mon 26 Oct, 22:30
Estádio Couto Pereira
Ramon Abatti
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 44%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 46%Bookmakers 44%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 44% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCoritiba
LDLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 0–1 (xG 0.69–1.39)
- 12 Oct · H v Botafogo 1–1 (xG 1.16–0.93)
- 9 Oct · A v Fluminense 0–4 (xG 1.54–1.77)
- 19 Sep · A v Vasco DA Gama 0–5 (xG 0.22–4.02)
- 12 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–3
Gremio
LDDDL
- 18 Oct · H v Cruzeiro 2–4 (xG 2.07–1.54)
- 11 Oct · H v Internacional 1–1 (xG 1.44–0.78)
- 7 Oct · A v Remo 1–1 (xG 2.61–1.32)
- 20 Sep · H v Palmeiras 0–0 (xG 0.97–2.49)
- 16 Sep · A v Botafogo 2–3 (xG 0.57–0.89)
Head-to-head
Coritiba 0 · draws 0 · Gremio 1, 1.0 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Gremio 1–0 Coritiba (Serie A)