Coritiba
0–1
Gremio
Mon 26 Oct, 22:30
Estádio Couto Pereira
Ramon Abatti
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
45%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 45%Bookmakers 43%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 43% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCoritiba
LDLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 0–1 (xG 0.69–1.39)
- 12 Oct · H v Botafogo 1–1 (xG 1.16–0.93)
- 9 Oct · A v Fluminense 0–4 (xG 1.54–1.77)
- 19 Sep · A v Vasco DA Gama 0–5 (xG 0.22–4.02)
- 12 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–3
Gremio
LDDDL
- 18 Oct · H v Cruzeiro 2–4 (xG 2.07–1.54)
- 11 Oct · H v Internacional 1–1 (xG 1.44–0.78)
- 7 Oct · A v Remo 1–1 (xG 2.61–1.32)
- 20 Sep · H v Palmeiras 0–0 (xG 0.97–2.49)
- 16 Sep · A v Botafogo 2–3 (xG 0.57–0.89)
Head-to-head
Coritiba 0 · draws 0 · Gremio 1, 1.0 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Gremio 1–0 Coritiba (Serie A)