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Flamengo
23:00
Atletico-MG
Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 Estádio do Maracanã Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
75%
Bookmakers 78%
Draw
16%
Bookmakers 15%
Away win
8%
Bookmakers 7%
Us 75%Bookmakers 78% Edge -2.7 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.7% expected per unit).

  • Home win: 75% against a market price of 78% (-2.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Flamengo

DWDWD
  • 23 Oct · H v Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 (xG 0.94–0.85)
  • 18 Oct · A v Bahia 3–0 (xG 2.76–0.59)
  • 16 Oct · A v Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 (xG 0.18–1.13)
  • 11 Oct · H v Fluminense 1–0 (xG 1.65–0.65)
  • 8 Oct · A v Santos 2–2 (xG 1.15–2.42)

Atletico-MG

LWWWD
  • 21 Oct · A v Atletico Torque 0–2 (xG 0.61–3.58)
  • 17 Oct · H v Coritiba 1–0 (xG 1.39–0.69)
  • 14 Oct · H v Atletico Torque 3–0 (xG 2.16–0.31)
  • 11 Oct · H v Santos 2–1 (xG 1.44–1.12)
  • 8 Oct · A v Atletico Paranaense 2–2 (xG 1.50–2.48)

Head-to-head

Flamengo 3 · draws 2 · Atletico-MG 0, 2.6 goals a game

  • 26 Apr 2026 · Atletico-MG 0–4 Flamengo (Serie A)
  • 26 Nov 2025 · Atletico-MG 1–1 Flamengo (Serie A)
  • 27 Jul 2025 · Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
  • 13 Nov 2024 · Flamengo 0–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
  • 4 Jul 2024 · Atletico-MG 2–4 Flamengo (Serie A)