Santos
00:00
Bahia
Sun 25 Oct, 00:00
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 50%Bookmakers 50%
Edge +0.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.9% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 50% (+0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSantos
WLDWW
- 18 Oct · A v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 2.26–0.99)
- 11 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 1–2 (xG 1.12–1.44)
- 8 Oct · H v Flamengo 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.15)
- 2 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 2–1 (xG 0.60–1.83)
- 19 Sep · A v Remo 2–1 (xG 0.90–0.84)
Bahia
LWLLW
- 18 Oct · H v Flamengo 0–3 (xG 0.59–2.76)
- 11 Oct · H v Mirassol 1–0 (xG 3.15–1.82)
- 9 Oct · A v Palmeiras 0–1 (xG 0.52–1.79)
- 20 Sep · A v Atletico Paranaense 1–2 (xG 1.19–0.64)
- 14 Sep · H v Remo 2–1 (xG 2.20–1.35)
Head-to-head
Santos 0 · draws 2 · Bahia 1, 3.3 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2026 · Bahia 2–2 Santos (Serie A)
- 24 Aug 2025 · Bahia 2–0 Santos (Serie A)
- 6 Apr 2025 · Santos 2–2 Bahia (Serie A)