Vitoria
19:30
Atletico Paranaense
Sat 24 Oct, 19:30
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Andre Luiz Skettino Policarpo Bento
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVitoria
DLWLD
- 19 Oct · A v Corinthians 1–1 (xG 0.84–1.64)
- 11 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.80)
- 7 Oct · H v Chapecoense-sc 4–0 (xG 2.67–0.38)
- 20 Sep · H v Cruzeiro 1–3 (xG 0.50–0.66)
- 13 Sep · A v Mirassol 2–2 (xG 1.64–1.46)
Atletico Paranaense
LWDWD
- 17 Oct · H v Palmeiras 0–2 (xG 1.21–0.38)
- 12 Oct · A v Chapecoense-sc 4–1 (xG 1.39–1.75)
- 8 Oct · H v Atletico-MG 2–2 (xG 2.48–1.50)
- 20 Sep · H v Bahia 2–1 (xG 0.64–1.19)
- 12 Sep · A v Coritiba 3–3
Head-to-head
Vitoria 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Paranaense 2, 2.7 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria (Serie A)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Vitoria (Serie A)
- 30 Jun 2024 · Vitoria 0–1 Atletico Paranaense (Serie A)