Vitoria
1–1
Atletico Paranaense
Sat 24 Oct, 19:30
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento, Brazil
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +0.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVitoria
DLWLD
- 19 Oct · A v Corinthians 1–1 (xG 0.84–1.64)
- 11 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.80)
- 7 Oct · H v Chapecoense-sc 4–0 (xG 2.67–0.38)
- 20 Sep · H v Cruzeiro 1–3 (xG 0.50–0.66)
- 13 Sep · A v Mirassol 2–2 (xG 1.64–1.46)
Atletico Paranaense
LWDWD
- 17 Oct · H v Palmeiras 0–2 (xG 1.21–0.38)
- 12 Oct · A v Chapecoense-sc 4–1 (xG 1.39–1.75)
- 8 Oct · H v Atletico-MG 2–2 (xG 2.48–1.50)
- 20 Sep · H v Bahia 2–1 (xG 0.64–1.19)
- 12 Sep · A v Coritiba 3–3
Head-to-head
Vitoria 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Paranaense 2, 2.7 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2026 · Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Vitoria (Serie A)
- 2 Nov 2024 · Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Vitoria (Serie A)
- 30 Jun 2024 · Vitoria 0–1 Atletico Paranaense (Serie A)