Atletico-MG
22:30
Cruzeiro
Thu 29 Oct, 22:30
MRV Arena
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 75%Books 73% Edge +2.2 pts Best odds 1.33 (Bet365) Expected return +0.1%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 72%Books 74% Best odds 1.33 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 39%Bookmakers 39%
Edge -0.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 39% (-0.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAtletico-MG
LWWWD
- 21 Oct · A v Atletico Torque 0–2 (xG 0.61–3.58)
- 17 Oct · H v Coritiba 1–0 (xG 1.39–0.69)
- 14 Oct · H v Atletico Torque 3–0 (xG 2.16–0.31)
- 11 Oct · H v Santos 2–1 (xG 1.44–1.12)
- 8 Oct · A v Atletico Paranaense 2–2 (xG 1.50–2.48)
Cruzeiro
WWLWW
- 23 Oct · H v Remo 1–0 (xG 0.89–0.28)
- 18 Oct · A v Gremio 4–2 (xG 1.54–2.07)
- 13 Oct · A v RB Bragantino 2–4 (xG 2.80–2.88)
- 8 Oct · H v Sao Paulo 2–0
- 20 Sep · A v Vitoria 3–1 (xG 0.66–0.50)
Head-to-head
Atletico-MG 2 · draws 3 · Cruzeiro 0, 1.8 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Cruzeiro 1–3 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 16 Oct 2025 · Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro (Serie A)
- 18 May 2025 · Cruzeiro 0–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 11 Aug 2024 · Cruzeiro 0–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 21 Apr 2024 · Atletico-MG 3–0 Cruzeiro (Serie A)