Atletico-MG
22:30
Cruzeiro
Thu 29 Oct, 22:30
Arena MRV
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 73%Books 68% Edge +4.3 pts Best odds 1.44 (Bet365) Expected return +4.4%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 38%Bookmakers 38%
Edge -0.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 38% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAtletico-MG
LLWWW
- 26 Oct · A v Flamengo 2–3 (xG 1.01–2.94)
- 21 Oct · A v Atletico Torque 0–2 (xG 0.61–3.58)
- 17 Oct · H v Coritiba 1–0 (xG 1.39–0.69)
- 14 Oct · H v Atletico Torque 3–0 (xG 2.16–0.31)
- 11 Oct · H v Santos 2–1 (xG 1.44–1.12)
Cruzeiro
WWLWW
- 23 Oct · H v Remo 1–0 (xG 0.89–0.28)
- 18 Oct · A v Gremio 4–2 (xG 1.54–2.07)
- 13 Oct · A v RB Bragantino 2–4 (xG 2.80–2.88)
- 8 Oct · H v Sao Paulo 2–0
- 20 Sep · A v Vitoria 3–1 (xG 0.66–0.50)
Head-to-head
Atletico-MG 2 · draws 3 · Cruzeiro 0, 1.8 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Cruzeiro 1–3 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 16 Oct 2025 · Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro (Serie A)
- 18 May 2025 · Cruzeiro 0–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 11 Aug 2024 · Cruzeiro 0–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A)
- 21 Apr 2024 · Atletico-MG 3–0 Cruzeiro (Serie A)