Bahia v Sao Paulo

Bahia

00:30

Sao Paulo

Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 Arena Fonte Nova

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBanker

Us 75%Books 71% Edge +3.8 pts Best odds 1.39 (Pinnacle) Expected return +3.8%

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Corners O/U 8.5Over 8.5 corners

Us 75%Books 76% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)

Home win

48%

Bookmakers 47%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Us 48%Bookmakers 47% Edge +1.0 pts Uncertainty ±2.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.0% alone is not enough).

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DLWLL

25 Oct · A v Santos 1–1 (xG 1.49–2.10)
18 Oct · H v Flamengo 0–3 (xG 0.59–2.76)
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DWWLL

24 Oct · A v Mirassol 1–1 (xG 1.13–1.32)
18 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 1–0 (xG 1.26–0.92)
11 Oct · H v Vitoria 2–1 (xG 1.80–0.79)
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2 Oct · H v Santos 1–2 (xG 1.83–0.60)

Bahia 1 · draws 1 · Sao Paulo 3, 3.2 goals a game