RB Bragantino
22:30
Chapecoense-sc
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
71%
Bookmakers 75%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
11%
Bookmakers 9%
Us 71%Bookmakers 75%
Edge -4.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-6.2% expected per unit).
- Home win: 71% against a market price of 75% (-4.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRB Bragantino
LDWDL
- 24 Oct · A v Palmeiras 0–2 (xG 0.44–3.39)
- 18 Oct · A v Remo 1–1 (xG 2.54–1.54)
- 13 Oct · H v Cruzeiro 4–2 (xG 2.88–2.80)
- 7 Oct · H v Mirassol 1–1 (xG 2.56–1.19)
- 3 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 0–1 (xG 1.27–0.50)
Chapecoense-sc
WLLLD
- 24 Oct · H v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 0.59–1.44)
- 17 Oct · A v Botafogo 0–1 (xG 0.24–2.41)
- 12 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–4 (xG 1.75–1.39)
- 7 Oct · A v Vitoria 0–4 (xG 0.38–2.67)
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–1 (xG 1.13–2.20)
Head-to-head
RB Bragantino 1 · draws 0 · Chapecoense-sc 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Chapecoense-sc 1–2 RB Bragantino (Serie A)