RB Bragantino
22:30
Chapecoense-sc
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
72%
Bookmakers 75%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
10%
Bookmakers 9%
Us 72%Bookmakers 75%
Edge -2.9 pts
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 72% against a market price of 75% (-2.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRB Bragantino
LDWDL
- 24 Oct · A v Palmeiras 0–2 (xG 0.44–3.39)
- 18 Oct · A v Remo 1–1 (xG 2.54–1.54)
- 13 Oct · H v Cruzeiro 4–2 (xG 2.88–2.80)
- 7 Oct · H v Mirassol 1–1 (xG 2.56–1.19)
- 3 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 0–1 (xG 1.27–0.50)
Chapecoense-sc
WLLLD
- 24 Oct · H v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 0.59–1.44)
- 17 Oct · A v Botafogo 0–1 (xG 0.24–2.41)
- 12 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–4 (xG 1.75–1.39)
- 7 Oct · A v Vitoria 0–4 (xG 0.38–2.67)
- 19 Sep · A v Atletico-MG 1–1 (xG 1.13–2.20)
Head-to-head
RB Bragantino 1 · draws 0 · Chapecoense-sc 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 3 May 2026 · Chapecoense-sc 1–2 RB Bragantino (Serie A)