Coritiba
22:30
Vitoria
Thu 29 Oct, 22:30
Estádio Couto Pereira
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 75%Books 73% Edge +1.7 pts Best odds 1.34 (Betano) Expected return +0.2%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 72%Books 74% Best odds 1.32 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
41%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 41%Bookmakers 42%
Edge -0.6 pts
Uncertainty ±1.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 42% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCoritiba
LDLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 0–1 (xG 0.69–1.39)
- 12 Oct · H v Botafogo 1–1 (xG 1.16–0.93)
- 9 Oct · A v Fluminense 0–4 (xG 1.54–1.77)
- 19 Sep · A v Vasco DA Gama 0–5 (xG 0.22–4.02)
- 12 Sep · H v Atletico Paranaense 3–3
Vitoria
DDLWL
- 24 Oct · H v Atletico Paranaense 1–1 (xG 1.69–0.57)
- 19 Oct · A v Corinthians 1–1 (xG 0.84–1.64)
- 11 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.80)
- 7 Oct · H v Chapecoense-sc 4–0 (xG 2.67–0.38)
- 20 Sep · H v Cruzeiro 1–3 (xG 0.50–0.66)
Head-to-head
Coritiba 0 · draws 0 · Vitoria 1, 5.0 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba (Serie A)