Santos
22:30
Palmeiras
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 77%Books 74% Edge +2.4 pts Best odds 1.32 (Pinnacle) Expected return +1.2%
Match result: no bet
Home win
33%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 37%Bookmakers 39%
Edge -1.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 39% (-1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSantos
DWLDW
- 25 Oct · H v Bahia 1–1 (xG 2.10–1.49)
- 18 Oct · A v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 2.26–0.99)
- 11 Oct · A v Atletico-MG 1–2 (xG 1.12–1.44)
- 8 Oct · H v Flamengo 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.15)
- 2 Oct · A v Sao Paulo 2–1 (xG 0.60–1.83)
Palmeiras
WLWWW
- 24 Oct · H v RB Bragantino 2–0 (xG 3.39–0.44)
- 22 Oct · H v Fluminense 0–1 (xG 0.64–0.24)
- 17 Oct · A v Atletico Paranaense 2–0 (xG 0.38–1.21)
- 15 Oct · A v Fluminense 2–1 (xG 1.19–0.52)
- 11 Oct · H v Corinthians 4–1 (xG 2.60–0.71)
Head-to-head
Santos 1 · draws 1 · Palmeiras 1, 1.7 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Palmeiras 1–1 Santos (Serie A)
- 16 Nov 2025 · Santos 1–0 Palmeiras (Serie A)
- 7 Nov 2025 · Palmeiras 2–0 Santos (Serie A)