Derry City
18:45
Dundalk
Fri 23 Oct, 18:45
Brandywell Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
52%
Bookmakers 52%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 52%Bookmakers 52%
Edge +0.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 52% (+0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDerry City
WLWDW
- 19 Oct · H v St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 (xG 0.70–2.61)
- 16 Oct · A v Drogheda United 0–2 (xG 1.35–0.92)
- 18 Sep · H v Galway United 1–0
- 14 Sep · A v Waterford 2–2
- 11 Sep · A v Shelbourne 1–0 (xG 1.05–0.82)
Dundalk
DLLLD
- 17 Oct · A v Sligo Rovers 1–1 (xG 1.73–0.36)
- 2 Oct · H v Bohemians 1–2 (xG 1.20–1.93)
- 18 Sep · H v Shelbourne 2–3
- 14 Sep · H v St Patrick's Athl. 0–4 (xG 0.26–2.94)
- 11 Sep · A v Waterford 1–1 (xG 0.55–2.04)
Head-to-head
Derry City 1 · draws 4 · Dundalk 1, 2.5 goals a game
- 29 May 2026 · Dundalk 2–1 Derry City (Premier Division)
- 10 Apr 2026 · Dundalk 2–2 Derry City (Premier Division)
- 13 Feb 2026 · Derry City 2–2 Dundalk (Premier Division)
- 18 Oct 2024 · Dundalk 0–2 Derry City (Premier Division)
- 9 Aug 2024 · Derry City 1–1 Dundalk (Premier Division)
- 31 May 2024 · Dundalk 0–0 Derry City (Premier Division)