Velez Sarsfield
1–0
Gimnasia M.
Sat 17 Oct, 23:00
Jose Amalfitani
Dario Herrera, Argentina
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
51%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 51%Bookmakers 54%
Edge -3.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-3.6%).
- Home win: 51% against a market price of 54% (-3.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVelez Sarsfield
LDWDW
- 12 Oct · A v Lanus 0–2 (xG 0.62–1.65)
- 5 Oct · H v Platense 2–2 (xG 1.52–2.58)
- 21 Sep · H v Tigre 3–2
- 11 Sep · A v Newells Old Boys 1–1 (xG 0.42–2.05)
- 6 Sep · H v Estudiantes L.P. 1–0
Gimnasia M.
WLDLD
- 12 Oct · H v Newells Old Boys 1–0 (xG 0.37–2.38)
- 5 Oct · A v Estudiantes L.P. 0–3
- 19 Sep · H v Deportivo Riestra 0–0 (xG 0.79–0.38)
- 11 Sep · A v Defensa Y Justicia 0–2 (xG 0.73–1.06)
- 5 Sep · H v Boca Juniors 2–2 (xG 1.80–1.78)
Head-to-head
Velez Sarsfield 0 · draws 0 · Gimnasia M. 1, 5.0 goals a game
- 3 Apr 2026 · Gimnasia M. 3–2 Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina)