Independiente
20:00
Boca Juniors
Sun 25 Oct, 20:00
N. Arasa
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 45%
Us 43%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 43% against a market price of 45% (-2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsIndependiente
DDLWD
- 18 Oct · A v Racing Club 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.27)
- 12 Oct · A v Talleres Cordoba 0–0 (xG 0.78–0.33)
- 2 Oct · H v Instituto Cordoba 1–4 (xG 0.44–1.56)
- 19 Sep · A v Union Santa Fe 2–1 (xG 0.34–1.33)
- 13 Sep · H v San Lorenzo 1–1 (xG 0.95–0.43)
Boca Juniors
WWLDW
- 21 Oct · A v Vasco DA Gama 3–1 (xG 0.57–0.63)
- 17 Oct · H v Talleres Cordoba 2–1 (xG 1.04–0.45)
- 14 Oct · H v Vasco DA Gama 0–1 (xG 1.55–0.49)
- 9 Oct · A v Instituto Cordoba 2–2 (xG 1.66–0.72)
- 3 Oct · H v Union Santa Fe 3–0
Head-to-head
Independiente 1 · draws 2 · Boca Juniors 0, 1.0 goals a game
- 11 Apr 2026 · Boca Juniors 1–1 Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 20 May 2025 · Boca Juniors 0–1 Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 14 Dec 2024 · Boca Juniors 0–0 Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina)