Union Santa Fe
3–1
Estudiantes L.P.
Mon 26 Oct, 22:00
Estadio 15 de Abril
Pablo Dovalo
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
35%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 35%Bookmakers 34%
Edge +1.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 35% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.0% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 35% against a market price of 34% (+1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUnion Santa Fe
DLLLL
- 20 Oct · A v Deportivo Riestra 1–1 (xG 0.74–0.88)
- 10 Oct · H v Defensa Y Justicia 0–2 (xG 2.38–2.09)
- 3 Oct · A v Boca Juniors 0–3
- 19 Sep · H v Independiente 1–2 (xG 1.33–0.34)
- 12 Sep · A v Talleres Cordoba 1–2 (xG 0.77–2.25)
Estudiantes L.P.
DLDDW
- 23 Oct · A v Flamengo 0–0 (xG 0.85–0.94)
- 18 Oct · H v San Lorenzo 1–2 (xG 1.02–0.94)
- 16 Oct · H v Flamengo 0–0 (xG 1.13–0.18)
- 10 Oct · A v Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–2 (xG 2.41–2.93)
- 5 Oct · H v Gimnasia M. 3–0
Head-to-head
Union Santa Fe 1 · draws 1 · Estudiantes L.P. 2, 2.0 goals a game
- 11 Apr 2026 · Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 15 Jul 2025 · Union Santa Fe 1–0 Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 25 Jan 2025 · Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 21 Jul 2024 · Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina)