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IF Elfsborg
0–0
Malmo FF
Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Borås Arena Granit Maqedonci, Sweden

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 46%Bookmakers 46% Edge +0.1 pts Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 46% against a market price of 46% (+0.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

IF Elfsborg

DWWWL
  • 18 Oct · A v Sirius 2–2 (xG 1.24–0.96)
  • 12 Oct · H v Halmstad 4–0 (xG 3.33–0.35)
  • 20 Sep · A v Djurgardens IF 2–1 (xG 1.63–1.34)
  • 13 Sep · H v Kalmar FF 1–0 (xG 2.46–1.97)
  • 6 Sep · A v IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 (xG 0.99–1.48)

Malmo FF

LWLWD
  • 18 Oct · H v BK Hacken 0–1 (xG 1.52–1.12)
  • 12 Oct · H v Kalmar FF 1–0 (xG 1.33–1.80)
  • 19 Sep · A v Vasteras SK FK 0–2 (xG 2.82–0.71)
  • 13 Sep · H v Orgryte IS 4–1 (xG 3.36–1.31)
  • 7 Sep · H v AIK Stockholm 0–0 (xG 1.32–0.61)

Head-to-head

IF Elfsborg 2 · draws 1 · Malmo FF 2, 3.4 goals a game

  • 26 Jul 2026 · Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan)
  • 14 Sep 2025 · IF Elfsborg 2–2 Malmo FF (Allsvenskan)
  • 7 Apr 2025 · Malmo FF 2–1 IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan)
  • 28 May 2024 · Malmo FF 2–1 IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan)
  • 5 May 2024 · IF Elfsborg 3–1 Malmo FF (Allsvenskan)