Degerfors IF
18:00
Vasteras SK FK
Wed 28 Oct, 18:00
Stora Valla
Granit Maqedonci
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 76%Books 75% Best odds 1.30 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
35%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 38%Bookmakers 33%
Edge +5.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +5.0% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 38% against a market price of 33% (+5.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsDegerfors IF
LLDLL
- 24 Oct · A v BK Hacken 0–4 (xG 1.12–2.43)
- 19 Oct · H v Kalmar FF 1–2 (xG 0.96–2.37)
- 10 Oct · A v Mjallby AIF 1–1 (xG 0.75–2.31)
- 20 Sep · H v Hammarby FF 0–1 (xG 1.98–2.38)
- 14 Sep · A v Sirius 0–2 (xG 1.71–1.86)
Vasteras SK FK
LWLWW
- 23 Oct · H v Halmstad 1–2 (xG 2.11–0.40)
- 18 Oct · H v Mjallby AIF 1–0 (xG 1.51–0.88)
- 9 Oct · A v IFK Goteborg 0–1 (xG 0.89–0.92)
- 19 Sep · H v Malmo FF 2–0 (xG 0.71–2.82)
- 12 Sep · A v AIK Stockholm 4–1 (xG 3.67–3.23)
Head-to-head
Degerfors IF 0 · draws 0 · Vasteras SK FK 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 12 Jul 2026 · Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan)