Hammarby FF
17:30
Sirius
Thu 29 Oct, 17:30
3Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 55%Bookmakers 64%
Edge -8.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 64% (-8.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHammarby FF
WWLWW
- 25 Oct · A v Mjallby AIF 2–0 (xG 1.33–0.40)
- 18 Oct · A v Halmstad 1–0 (xG 1.61–0.33)
- 11 Oct · H v Djurgardens IF 0–1 (xG 0.75–1.75)
- 20 Sep · A v Degerfors IF 1–0 (xG 2.38–1.98)
- 13 Sep · H v IF Brommapojkarna 3–1 (xG 2.02–1.00)
Sirius
LDWWW
- 24 Oct · H v AIK Stockholm 1–2 (xG 2.69–1.65)
- 18 Oct · H v IF Elfsborg 2–2 (xG 0.96–1.24)
- 10 Oct · A v Gais 1–0 (xG 1.56–1.70)
- 19 Sep · A v Orgryte IS 2–1 (xG 1.16–1.18)
- 14 Sep · H v Degerfors IF 2–0 (xG 1.86–1.71)
Head-to-head
Hammarby FF 3 · draws 0 · Sirius 2, 3.4 goals a game
- 13 Apr 2026 · Sirius 2–0 Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan)
- 24 Aug 2025 · Sirius 3–1 Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan)
- 14 May 2025 · Hammarby FF 3–2 Sirius (Allsvenskan)
- 26 Oct 2024 · Sirius 0–3 Hammarby FF (Allsvenskan)
- 26 May 2024 · Hammarby FF 3–0 Sirius (Allsvenskan)