Kalmar FF
18:00
Gais
Thu 29 Oct, 18:00
Guldfågeln Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 74%Books 74% Best odds 1.30 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
40%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 40%Bookmakers 39%
Edge +0.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 39% (+0.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsKalmar FF
LWLLL
- 24 Oct · H v IF Brommapojkarna 0–3 (xG 1.35–1.11)
- 19 Oct · A v Degerfors IF 2–1 (xG 2.37–0.96)
- 12 Oct · A v Malmo FF 0–1 (xG 1.80–1.33)
- 20 Sep · H v BK Hacken 0–5 (xG 1.02–3.24)
- 13 Sep · A v IF Elfsborg 0–1 (xG 1.97–2.46)
Gais
DLLWL
- 25 Oct · H v IFK Goteborg 1–1 (xG 1.68–1.61)
- 18 Oct · A v Orgryte IS 2–4 (xG 1.42–2.79)
- 10 Oct · H v Sirius 0–1 (xG 1.70–1.56)
- 20 Sep · A v Mjallby AIF 3–0 (xG 1.34–1.02)
- 14 Sep · A v Djurgardens IF 0–2
Head-to-head
Kalmar FF 0 · draws 1 · Gais 2, 3.3 goals a game
- 30 May 2026 · Gais 3–0 Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan)
- 31 Aug 2024 · Gais 1–1 Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan)
- 25 Apr 2024 · Kalmar FF 2–3 Gais (Allsvenskan)