Molde
5–1
Fredrikstad
Sun 25 Oct, 18:15
Aker Stadion
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
65%
Bookmakers 67%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 65%Bookmakers 67%
Edge -2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-5.4% expected per unit).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 67% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMolde
WDLWW
- 18 Oct · H v Start 6–1 (xG 3.71–1.76)
- 11 Oct · A v Lillestrom 2–2 (xG 2.95–1.63)
- 19 Sep · H v Aalesund 1–2
- 13 Sep · A v Ham-Kam 5–1 (xG 2.92–1.56)
- 6 Sep · H v KFUM Oslo 2–0
Fredrikstad
LDDDL
- 17 Oct · A v Viking 2–3 (xG 0.49–1.82)
- 11 Oct · H v Tromso 1–1 (xG 1.51–1.51)
- 20 Sep · A v Valerenga 1–1 (xG 0.71–1.55)
- 13 Sep · H v Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 (xG 1.40–0.23)
- 4 Sep · H v Bodo/Glimt 1–2 (xG 0.59–1.55)
Head-to-head
Molde 1 · draws 1 · Fredrikstad 2, 4.0 goals a game
- 13 Sep 2025 · Molde 1–2 Fredrikstad (Eliteserien)
- 12 Jul 2025 · Fredrikstad 4–2 Molde (Eliteserien)
- 14 Sep 2024 · Molde 6–1 Fredrikstad (Eliteserien)
- 13 Jul 2024 · Fredrikstad 0–0 Molde (Eliteserien)