U. Catolica
23:30
A. Italiano
Wed 28 Oct, 23:30
San Carlos de Apoquindo
Mathias Riquelme
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 67%Books 65% Edge +1.8 pts Best odds 1.50 (Betano) Expected return +0.9%
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 79%Books 81% Best odds 1.22 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
58%
Bookmakers 60%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 58%Bookmakers 60%
Edge -2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 58% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 60% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsU. Catolica
LWWWW
- 25 Oct · A v Union La Calera 1–3 (xG 1.83–0.95)
- 12 Sep · A v Palestino 3–2
- 5 Sep · A v Everton de Vina 1–0
- 1 Sep · H v O'Higgins 3–2 (xG 2.02–1.39)
- 26 Aug · A v Coquimbo Unido 2–1
A. Italiano
DWWLD
- 23 Oct · H v Huachipato 1–1 (xG 1.17–0.93)
- 13 Sep · H v O'Higgins 1–0
- 5 Sep · A v Concepción 1–0
- 30 Aug · A v Colo Colo 1–5
- 22 Aug · H v Union La Calera 0–0
Head-to-head
U. Catolica 2 · draws 2 · A. Italiano 1, 3.2 goals a game
- 11 Apr 2026 · A. Italiano 3–4 U. Catolica (Primera División)
- 20 Jul 2025 · A. Italiano 1–1 U. Catolica (Primera División)
- 17 Feb 2025 · U. Catolica 3–1 A. Italiano (Primera División)
- 18 Aug 2024 · A. Italiano 2–1 U. Catolica (Primera División)
- 17 Mar 2024 · U. Catolica 0–0 A. Italiano (Primera División)