D. La Serena
15:30
Concepción
Sat 24 Oct, 15:30
La Portada
Mathias Riquelme
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 76%Books 72% Edge +3.4 pts Best odds 1.35 (Pinnacle) Expected return +2.2%
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Us 39%Bookmakers 42%
Edge -2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 42% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsD. La Serena
LLWWD
- 11 Oct · A v Everton de Vina 2–3 (xG 1.20–2.27)
- 13 Sep · H v Universidad de Chile 0–3
- 6 Sep · H v Nublense 2–1
- 31 Aug · A v Union La Calera 1–0
- 23 Aug · H v Cobresal 3–3
Concepción
DDLWD
- 11 Oct · H v Union La Calera 1–1 (xG 1.75–0.49)
- 13 Sep · A v Colo Colo 1–1
- 5 Sep · H v A. Italiano 0–1
- 30 Aug · A v Nublense 1–0
- 23 Aug · H v Coquimbo Unido 1–1 (xG 0.70–0.30)
Head-to-head
D. La Serena 0 · draws 1 · Concepción 0, 6.0 goals a game
- 19 Apr 2026 · Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena (Primera División)