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Bay FC W
2–2
Portland Thorns W
Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 PayPal Park Alexandra Billeter, USA

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
36%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
41%
Bookmakers 39%
Us 41%Bookmakers 39% Edge +1.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.6%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.3%).

  • Away win: 41% against a market price of 39% (+1.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Bay FC W

LLWDL
  • 3 Oct · A v Kansas City W 1–5
  • 27 Sep · H v Orlando Pride W 1–3
  • 20 Sep · H v Racing Louisville W 2–0
  • 17 Sep · A v Denver Summit W 2–2
  • 13 Sep · A v Seattle Reign FC W 0–2

Portland Thorns W

LDWDL
  • 4 Oct · H v Boston Legacy W 2–4
  • 27 Sep · H v Houston Dash W 1–1
  • 19 Sep · A v Orlando Pride W 4–1
  • 13 Sep · H v Chicago Red Stars W 1–1
  • 6 Sep · H v Washington Spirit W 1–2

Head-to-head

Bay FC W 2 · draws 0 · Portland Thorns W 3, 3.0 goals a game

  • 21 May 2026 · Portland Thorns W 2–0 Bay FC W (NWSL Women)
  • 5 Oct 2025 · Portland Thorns W 2–1 Bay FC W (NWSL Women)
  • 7 Jun 2025 · Bay FC W 1–0 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women)
  • 31 Aug 2024 · Portland Thorns W 1–3 Bay FC W (NWSL Women)
  • 2 May 2024 · Bay FC W 2–3 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women)