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Portland Thorns W
02:00
North Carolina Courage W
Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Providence Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
41%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 41%Bookmakers 38% Edge +2.8 pts Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.8% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 41% against a market price of 38% (+2.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Portland Thorns W

DLDWD
  • 18 Oct · A v Bay FC W 2–2 (xG 1.55–2.07)
  • 4 Oct · H v Boston Legacy W 2–4
  • 27 Sep · H v Houston Dash W 1–1
  • 19 Sep · A v Orlando Pride W 4–1
  • 13 Sep · H v Chicago Red Stars W 1–1

North Carolina Courage W

LWLLL
  • 17 Oct · H v San Diego Wave W 1–2 (xG 1.32–2.01)
  • 3 Oct · A v Seattle Reign FC W 1–0
  • 27 Sep · A v Utah Royals W 1–2
  • 19 Sep · H v NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1–2
  • 12 Sep · A v San Diego Wave W 1–2

Head-to-head

Portland Thorns W 1 · draws 3 · North Carolina Courage W 1, 1.8 goals a game

  • 4 Apr 2026 · North Carolina Courage W 2–2 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women)
  • 16 Aug 2025 · North Carolina Courage W 1–1 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women)
  • 30 Mar 2025 · Portland Thorns W 0–0 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women)
  • 9 Jun 2024 · Portland Thorns W 1–0 North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women)
  • 13 Apr 2024 · North Carolina Courage W 2–0 Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women)