Ceara
2–2
Juventude
Sat 17 Oct, 19:30
Estadio Castelão
Kleber Ariel Goncalves da Silva
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
36%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 36%
Us 36%Bookmakers 33%
Edge +2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+2.5%).
- Home win: 36% against a market price of 33% (+2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCeara
LWWDW
- 13 Oct · A v Botafogo SP 0–1 (xG 0.50–0.86)
- 8 Oct · H v Criciuma 1–0 (xG 0.77–0.56)
- 3 Oct · A v Avai 1–0 (xG 1.58–1.85)
- 26 Sep · A v Operario-PR 2–2
- 18 Sep · H v Novorizontino 2–1 (xG 0.71–2.09)
Juventude
DWWWL
- 11 Oct · H v São Bernardo 2–2 (xG 1.86–1.35)
- 7 Oct · A v Ponte Preta 2–0
- 2 Oct · H v Operario-PR 3–0 (xG 2.38–1.65)
- 28 Sep · A v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.19–0.38)
- 19 Sep · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 0.96–0.73)
Head-to-head
Ceara 0 · draws 0 · Juventude 3, 2.0 goals a game
- 28 Jun 2026 · Juventude 2–0 Ceara (Serie B)
- 30 Aug 2025 · Ceara 0–1 Juventude (Serie A)
- 12 Apr 2025 · Juventude 2–1 Ceara (Serie A)