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São Bernardo
0–1
Criciuma
Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Estadio Primeiro de Maio Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos, Brazil

Our pick: Home win

Upset Watch Lost
Home win
36%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 36%Bookmakers 28% Edge +7.2 pts Uncertainty ±2.8%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 7.2% too long by the market.

  • Home win: 36% against a market price of 28% (+7.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

São Bernardo

DLWDW
  • 11 Oct · A v Juventude 2–2 (xG 1.35–1.86)
  • 6 Oct · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.99–1.63)
  • 2 Oct · H v CRB 3–1 (xG 0.56–1.93)
  • 25 Sep · A v Novorizontino 0–0 (xG 0.27–0.56)
  • 19 Sep · H v Atletico Goianiense 1–0

Criciuma

WLWWL
  • 12 Oct · H v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.47–0.15)
  • 8 Oct · A v Ceara 0–1 (xG 0.56–0.77)
  • 2 Oct · A v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.08–0.89)
  • 27 Sep · H v Avai 3–0 (xG 0.82–0.05)
  • 22 Sep · H v Operario-PR 0–2 (xG 1.34–0.35)

Head-to-head

São Bernardo 0 · draws 0 · Criciuma 1, 1.0 goals a game

  • 27 Jun 2026 · Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo (Serie B)