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Vila Nova
2–2
Novorizontino
Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
37%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
30%
Bookmakers 31%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 37%Bookmakers 34% Edge +2.9 pts Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+2.9%).

  • Home win: 37% against a market price of 34% (+2.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Vila Nova

WDWWW
  • 11 Oct · A v Nautico Recife 2–0 (xG 0.70–0.60)
  • 7 Oct · H v Cuiaba 0–0 (xG 1.13–0.73)
  • 3 Oct · A v Botafogo SP 1–0 (xG 0.22–1.14)
  • 25 Sep · H v Londrina 2–0 (xG 1.36–0.39)
  • 18 Sep · H v America Mineiro 1–0 (xG 1.36–1.71)

Novorizontino

WWWDL
  • 12 Oct · H v Ponte Preta 5–1 (xG 1.68–1.40)
  • 8 Oct · A v Nautico Recife 2–0 (xG 1.62–0.18)
  • 2 Oct · H v Goias 3–0
  • 25 Sep · H v São Bernardo 0–0 (xG 0.56–0.27)
  • 18 Sep · A v Ceara 1–2 (xG 2.09–0.71)

Head-to-head

Vila Nova 1 · draws 1 · Novorizontino 3, 2.2 goals a game

  • 26 Jun 2026 · Novorizontino 2–1 Vila Nova (Serie B)
  • 28 Sep 2025 · Novorizontino 1–1 Vila Nova (Serie B)
  • 30 May 2025 · Vila Nova 0–1 Novorizontino (Serie B)
  • 31 Aug 2024 · Novorizontino 2–0 Vila Nova (Serie B)
  • 14 May 2024 · Vila Nova 2–1 Novorizontino (Serie B)